POLICY COMPASS LONG FORM
Transatlantic Drift:
Analysis of the United States of America’s Disengagement from Europe in the Second Trump Administration
by Scott Mackie
28 February 2025
In this paper we discuss:
- How the Trump administration is accelerating its pivot away from Europe;
- Pete Hegseth's declaration on the European position vis a vis the war in Ukraine
- The EU's and NATO's response to Hegseth's remarks;
- How the US’s pivot to the Indo-Pacific risks creating a two-tier NATO;
- Why the US engaging unilaterally with Russia—excluding European allies—undermines NATO unity; and
- Europe's crucial choice: increasing defence spending and assume a leadership role in security, or risk NATO fragmentation.
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