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POLICY COMPASS

The US-China Phase-1 Trade Deal Is Likely To Be Completed Soon, But the Strategic Rivalry Is Also Likely To Increase Over Time

By Nouriel Roubini

6 December 2019

In this paper we discuss:

  • The most recent developments in the US-China trade dispute;
  • Why we believe that a Phase-1 deal is likely to be reached soon;
  • What are the remaining sticking points for a Phase-1 deal to be signed;
  • Whether or not a Phase-2 deal could be possible before the US Presidential Election in 2020; and
  • Why the US-China strategic rivalry is destined to increase in the medium term.

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Download PDF: US-China Trade War - December 2019

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