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GLOBAL OUTLOOK AND STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION FOR 2021

A Volatile Macroeconomic And Geopolitical Year Ahead

By Nouriel Roubini, Brunello Rosa and Alessandro Magnoli Bocchi

23 December 2020

In this paper we discuss:

  1. GLOBAL OVERVIEW: A Very Volatile Macroeconomic And Geopolitical Environment;
  2. MACRO ANALYSIS: Supported By Stimuli, Growth Will Recover - But Remain Anaemic;
  3. RISK ANALYSIS: I) Geopolitics; Ii) Trade & Social Tensions; Iii) Climate Change; Iv) Leveraged Markets;
  4. POLICY ANALYSIS: Continued Monetary Accommodation With The Risk Of Fiscal Drag;
  5. MARKET ANALYSIS: Rates To Remain Low, Providing Continued Support To Equities; and
  6. STRATEGIC ASSET ALLOCATION: ‘Ride The Liquidity Wave’, Maintain A Long-Term.

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