MACRO PICTURE

Assessing Conflict Dynamics in the Middle East

By Giorgio Cafiero

5 December 2024

In this paper we discuss:

  • The Hezbollah-Israel ceasefire;
  • The ramifications for Syria, given the recent assault by rebels to Aleppo;
  • The continuation and potential end of the war in Gaza; and
  • The prospects for US-Iran diplomacy.

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