Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Risk Of Escalation

by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa

14 August 2019

In this paper we discuss:

  • The latest developments in the tensions between US and Iran;
  • A scenario analysis on how the situation could evolve in coming months;
  • Under what conditions a war could erupt between US and Iran; and
  • The implications for oil prices of the various scenarios.

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Download PDF: R&R Scenario Analysis on Iran - August 2019

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