MACRO PICTURE

Scenario Analysis: Tension Between Iran and US Likely To Continue, With Increasing Risk Of Escalation

by Giorgio Cafiero, Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa

14 August 2019

In this paper we discuss:

• The latest developments in the tensions between US and Iran;
• A scenario analysis on how the situation could evolve in coming months;
• Under what conditions a war could erupt between US and Iran; and
• The implications for oil prices of the various scenarios.

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Download PDF: R&R Scenario Analysis on Iran - August 2019

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