MACRO PICTURE

European Banks: Are AMCs Coming to Deal With Looming Surge in NPLs?

by Brunello Rosa and Nouriel Roubini

25 February 2021

In this paper we discuss:

• The economic impact of the Covid pandemic on the Eurozone (EZ) economy;
• How a rise in unemployment will likely lead to a surge in NPLs;
• Why banks are reluctant to provision against them;
• What solutions (private and public) can be devised to address the problem;
• Why the doom-loop between public debt and banks has gone worse recently; and
• How this could create tensions in the future.

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