MACRO PICTURE

China’s Deceleration: Navigating China’s Economic Crossroads

by Billy Buddell

27 September 2023

In this paper we discuss:

  • The structural deceleration of the Chinese economy since the early 2000s;
  • How the zero-Covid policy has impacted economic activity and the strength of the subsequent recovery;
  • The difficulties of the Chinese real-estate sector;
  • The impact of over-indebtedness on Chinese economic activity;
  • How it is now harder for the Chinese government to reach the 5% growth target for this year.

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