POLICY COMPASS: Brexit Scenarios

No-Deal Hard Brexit Is Still A Low-Probability Scenario

By Nouriel Roubini and Brunello Rosa

18 June 2019

In this paper we discuss:

  • The race to the Tory leadership;
  • How this race can influence the future of Brexit negotiations;
  • The three scenarios that could open up if the new Prime Minister does not make a new deal with the EU;
  • The two scenarios that can open up in case of hard Brexit; and
  • The market implications and opportunities deriving from all the above.

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Download PDF: R&R Brexit Scenarios - June 2019

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