MACRO PICTURE
Iran’s Transition to the Post-Raisi Period Likely Means Continuation of Hardline Rule
by Giorgio Cafiero
4 June 2024
In this paper we discuss:
-
The downing of Iran's presidential helicopter in May, and the conspiracy theories associated with that;
-
The "politics" of Raisi's funeral, revealing the new alliances in the region;
-
Iran's succession plans for the Presidency and the Supreme Leader position;
-
The risk of instability arising in the region during the transition period;
-
Iran's "Neighbours first" policy, which is likely to continue; and
-
Why we believe that Teheran's leadership will try to keep the detente with Riyad going for longer.
Contact us to obtain the password to open the PDF
Download PDF: IRAN - June 2024
Back to Research
Back to Homepage